Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Landen Stadium (Sydney)


	Blacktown City		Marconi Stallions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.6	1.85
	3.23	4.01	1.94
	4.55	3.57	1.74	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.44	3.74	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.94)	3.66 ↑ (3.55)	1.86 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown City
25.5%

Draw
25%

Marconi Stallions
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

25.9%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blacktown City's form might have worsened.

Marconi Stallions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marconi Stallions's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marconi Stallions than the current prediction. (-5%)

Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Tsekenis D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
80', 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 2.

Recent form of Blacktown City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marconi Stallions is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blacktown City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Marconi Stallions has had a series of away games.

Marconi Stallions could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Blacktown City won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blacktown City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown City FC
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Blacktown City - Sutherland Sharks	2:3 ✺
21.02.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Blacktown City - Manly United	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sydney Olympic - Blacktown City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- Marconi Stallions
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	University of New South Wales - Marconi Stallions	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sydney FC U23 - Marconi Stallions	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wollongong Wolves - Marconi Stallions	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Rockdale Ilinden - Marconi Stallions	1:4 ✺
07.02.26	Marconi Stallions - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
25.05.25	Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions	0:2
08.02.25	Marconi Stallions - Blacktown City	1:1
01.09.24	Marconi Stallions - Blacktown City	6:2
17.08.24	Marconi Stallions - Blacktown City	1:2
12.05.24	Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions	3:0
25.06.23	Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions	3:1
11.03.23	Marconi Stallions - Blacktown City	2:0

Blacktown City - Marconi Stallions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide