Match Info

NPL NSW U20 - Round 28

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Blacktown City U20		UNSW U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.80	2.70
	2.12	3.65	2.62
	1.93	4	2.9
	2.01	4.15	2.87
	1.91	3.95	2.85
	2.26	3.8	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)	3.89 ↑ (3.8)	2.77 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown City U20
44.1%

Draw
23.2%

UNSW U20
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

23.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

22.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown City U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

UNSW U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown City U20 than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNSW U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Blacktown City U20 - UNSW U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Blacktown City U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UNSW U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNSW U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown City U20
Australian NPL NSW U20
08.08.26	North West Sydney Spirit U20 - Blacktown City U20	3:3 ✺
01.08.26	Blacktown City U20 - Sydney FC U20	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Wollongong Wolves U20 - Blacktown City U20	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Blacktown City U20 - St George City U20	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	SD Raiders U20 - Blacktown City U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTWWW
- University of New South Wales U20
Australian NPL NSW U20
07.08.26	UNSW U20 - Sydney Olympic U20	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Western Sydney Wanderers U20 - UNSW U20	6:0 ✺
25.07.26	APIA Leichhardt U20 - UNSW U20	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	UNSW U20 - North West Sydney Spirit U20	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	St George City U20 - UNSW U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWT

Blacktown City U20 - UNSW U20

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Blacktown City U20 - UNSW U20 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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