Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NSW League One - Round 17

Date: 31 May 2024, Friday


	Blacktown Spartans		Dunbar Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.54	4
	1.63	4.54	4
	1.53	4.33	4
	1.57	4.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	4.45 ↑ (4)	4.08 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown Spartans
57.3%

Draw
20.4%

Dunbar Rovers
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

19%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blacktown Spartans's performance.

Dunbar Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunbar Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blacktown Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunbar Rovers than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunbar Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blacktown Spartans - Dunbar Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

Recent matches Blacktown Spartans is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dunbar Rovers is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blacktown Spartans will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
25.05.24	Dulwich Hill - Blacktown Spartans	4:1 ✺
18.05.24	Blacktown Spartans - Inter Lions	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Bankstown City Lions - Blacktown Spartans	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Blacktown Spartans - Macarthur Rams	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Blacktown Spartans - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWL
- Dunbar Rovers
Australian NSW League One
25.05.24	Hakoah Sydney City East - Dunbar Rovers	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Dunbar Rovers - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:1 ✺
04.05.24	Northern Tigers - Dunbar Rovers	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Canterbury Bankstown - Dunbar Rovers	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Dunbar Rovers - Macarthur Rams	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLLT

Blacktown Spartans - Dunbar Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide