Match Info

NSW League One - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Blacktown Spartans		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.6	3.6
	1.77	3.9	3.6
	1.81	4.01	3.63
	1.76	4.17	3.55	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.4
	1.8	4.17	3.65	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.92 ↑ (3.8)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown Spartans
51.1%

Draw
23.3%

Mounties Wanderers
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

20.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Mounties Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blacktown Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mounties Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blacktown Spartans - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 1 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

Blacktown Spartans has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mounties Wanderers has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Blacktown Spartans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
26.04.25	Macarthur Rams - Blacktown Spartans	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Inter Lions - Blacktown Spartans	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Blacktown Spartans - University of New South Wales	0:5 ✺
29.03.25	Bankstown City Lions - Blacktown Spartans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
26.04.25	Mounties Wanderers - Inter Lions	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Mounties Wanderers - SD Raiders	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Bankstown City Lions - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Mounties Wanderers	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Mounties Wanderers - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL

Blacktown Spartans - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide