Match Info

NSW League One - Round 22

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Blacktown Spartans		Newcastle Jets U23

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.40	4.60
	1.65	3.95	3.95
	1.47	4.80	4.50
	1.61	4.3	4.16	Watch
	1.45	4.75	4.35
	1.58	4.2	4.36
	1.64	3.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.71)	4.34 ↑ (3.85)	4.26 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blacktown Spartans
58%

Draw
20.8%

Newcastle Jets U23
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

22.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blacktown Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blacktown Spartans's performance.

Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', 3 - 2, ⚽,
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,
76', 5 - 2, ⚽,
80', 6 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 7 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW and 13).

Blacktown Spartans is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle Jets U23 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Blacktown Spartans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blacktown Spartans is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Blacktown Spartans won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Blacktown Spartans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
26.06.26	Blacktown Spartans - Rydalmere Lions	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Dulwich Hill - Blacktown Spartans	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Blacktown Spartans - Bankstown City Lions	4:1 ✺
06.06.26	Hakoah Sydney City East - Blacktown Spartans	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Blacktown Spartans - Western City Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWLW
- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
27.06.26	Inter Lions - Newcastle Jets U23	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Newcastle Jets U23	6:5 ✺
06.06.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Prospect United	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Bulls Academy - Newcastle Jets U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
21.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Blacktown Spartans	3:3
31.05.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Blacktown Spartans	2:2
15.02.25	Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23	1:3

Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide