Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 26

Date: 17 May 2023, Wednesday


	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf		Hennef 05

	1	X	2
	5.3	4.7	1.35
	6.24	5.4	1.37
	7.1	5.15	1.33
	7	5.5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (5.83)	5.19 ↑ (5.02)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
14.3%

Draw
17.6%

Hennef 05
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

18.1%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

17.3%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hennef 05 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiß Friesdorf than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hennef 05 than the current prediction. (+1%)

Blau Weiß Friesdorf - Hennef 05 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 1.

Recent matches Friesdorf is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hennef 05 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Friesdorf could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hennef 05 is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Friesdorf won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
12.05.23	Bonner - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hürth	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Wegberg-Beeck	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Blau-Weiß Königsdorf - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLTTW
- Hennef 05
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
14.05.23	Hennef 05 - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:1 ✺
07.05.23	Fortuna Köln II - Hennef 05	2:3 ✺
30.04.23	Hennef 05 - Bergisch Gladbach	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Vichttal - Hennef 05	3:5 ✺
16.04.23	Hennef 05 - Frechen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
30.10.22	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0
12.06.22	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:1
09.06.22	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hennef 05	2:1
20.09.20	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0
22.09.19	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:1
02.06.19	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hennef 05	1:3
18.11.18	Hennef 05 - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:0

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