Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Blauw Geel 38		UNA

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	2.90
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	1.97	3.43	3.07
	2.05	3.6	3.05	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3
	2.07	4.22	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.39)	3.55 ↓ (3.88)	2.98 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blauw Geel 38
44.3%

Draw
25.4%

UNA
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

23.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blauw Geel 38 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blauw Geel 38's performance.

UNA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blauw Geel 38 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blauw Geel 38 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blauw Geel 38 - UNA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th and 14th).

Blauw Geel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

UNA is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Blauw Geel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Blauw Geel has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Blauw Geel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:2 goals (averaging 3:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

UNA - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blauw Geel 38
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.26	Blauw Geel 38 - Dongen	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Roosendaal - Blauw Geel 38	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Blauw Geel 38 - GOES	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
01.09.26	Sportlust 46 - Blauw Geel 38	3:1 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
15.08.26	Noordwijk - Blauw Geel 38	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLL
- VV UNA
Dutch Derde Divisie
27.09.26	UNA - Dongen	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	GOES - UNA	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	UNA - Rijnvogels	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Gemert - UNA	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
02.09.26	Staphorst - UNA	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Derde Divisie
26.04.26	Blauw Geel 38 - UNA	0:2
26.01.25	UNA - Blauw Geel 38	4:0
01.09.24	Blauw Geel 38 - UNA	6:0
03.09.23	UNA - Blauw Geel 38	2:1
23.04.22	UNA - Blauw Geel 38	0:1

Blauw Geel 38 - UNA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide