Match Info

Karnten - Round 23

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Bleiburg		KAC 1909

	1	X	2
	2.53	3.6	2.38
	2.58	3.71	2.29	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.4
	2.44	3.54	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)	3.54 ↓ (3.8)	2.36 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bleiburg
36.2%

Draw
25.6%

KAC 1909
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

24.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

24.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bleiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bleiburg's form might have worsened.

KAC 1909 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KAC 1909's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bleiburg than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bleiburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KAC 1909 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KAC 1909, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bleiburg - KAC 1909 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

Bleiburg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KAC 1909 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KAC 1909 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bleiburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	KAC 1909	10	6	2	2	26:12	14	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SVG Bleiburg
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
25.04.26	Bleiburg - Lendorf	1:6 ✺
17.04.26	SAK Klagenfurt - Bleiburg	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Bleiburg - Austria Klagenfurt II	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Sankt Veit - Bleiburg	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Bleiburg - Grafenstein	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL
- FC KAC 1909
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
25.04.26	Donau Klagenfurt - KAC 1909	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	KAC 1909 - Köttmannsdorf	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Dellach Gail - KAC 1909	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	KAC 1909 - Völkermarkter	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	ATUS Ferlach - KAC 1909	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
12.09.25	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	2:0
05.06.25	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	1:0
28.03.24	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	1:0

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