Match Info

Copa Santa Catarina - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Blumenau		Joinville

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.13	3.07	3.21
	2.55	2.18	4.35	Watch
	2.15	3.33	3.18
	2.37	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.35 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blumenau
41.1%

Draw
31.2%

Joinville
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.1%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blumenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joinville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Blumenau - Joinville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Blumenau has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Joinville is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blumenau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Joinville - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.72%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blumenau EC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
02.11.25	Joinville - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Blumenau - Atlético Tubarão	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Tubarão - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Joinville - Blumenau	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Blumenau - Carlos Renaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Joinville
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
02.11.25	Joinville - Blumenau	1:0 ✺
27.10.25	Criciúma - Joinville	2:3 penalties ✺
21.10.25	Joinville - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
13.10.25	Joinville - Blumenau	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Nação - Joinville	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
02.11.25	Joinville - Blumenau	1:0
13.10.25	Joinville - Blumenau	2:0

Blumenau - Joinville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide