Match Info
Mineiro 2 - Round 9Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Boa Esporte |
|
Caldense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.83 |
2.85 |
4.50 |
|
 |
1.74 |
3.00 |
4.20 |
|
 |
1.88 |
2.86 |
4.36 |
|
 |
1.87 |
2.96 |
4.54 |
 Watch |
 |
1.85 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
|
 |
1.8 |
2.89 |
5.02 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.78) |
2.89 ↓
(3.11) |
4.49 ↓
(4.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Boa Esporte
49% | Draw
31% | Caldense
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Caldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+1%)Boa Esporte - Caldense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Lucas Lotto ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Mateus ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boa won 1.Recent performances by Boa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Caldense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Boa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Boa is the team to beat.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Boa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.6:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Boa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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