Match Info
BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO 2 - FINAL STAGE - ROUND 10Date: 12 August 2023, SaturdayLocation: Melão (Varginha)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Boa Esporte |
|
Itabirito |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.33 |
3.4 |
1.68 |
|
 |
3.73 |
3.55 |
1.75 |
|
 |
4.9 |
3.48 |
1.68 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↑
(1.98) |
3.48 ↑
(3.31) |
1.7 ↓
(3.46) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Boa Esporte
20.9% | Draw
26% | Itabirito
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boa Esporte's form might have worsened.Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabirito's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (+25.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boa Esporte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-26.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabirito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Boa Esporte - Itabirito Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Boa will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Itabirito will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Itabirito: 50.9% – 95.7%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
Boa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Itabirito is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Boa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Boa will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Boa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1. Including matches at home between the teams Boa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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