Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Bocholt		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.45	1.92
	3.45	4	1.91
	3.21	3.7	1.98
	3.47	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (4.68)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	1.92 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bocholt
27%

Draw
25%

Fortuna Köln
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

23.9%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bocholt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bocholt's performance.

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bocholt than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bocholt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bocholt - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Budimbu A. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Geerkens T. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Budimbu A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, Thier N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 3, Stanilewicz A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bocholt won 2.

Bocholt has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna Köln is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bocholt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bocholt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bocholt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bocholt	11	3	4	4	24:26	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Bocholt
German Regionalliga West
01.03.26	Siegen - Bocholt	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bocholt - Bonner	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Paderborn II - Bocholt	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bocholt - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Bocholt - Gütersloh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTLT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
01.03.26	Fortuna Köln - Bonner	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Fortuna Köln - Gütersloh	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Fortuna Köln	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Fortuna Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Bochum II - Fortuna Köln	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
16.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:1
25.01.25	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:1
03.08.24	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	3:5
13.04.24	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	0:1
21.10.23	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	2:1
03.03.23	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:0
28.01.23	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	0:1

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