Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bocholt		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.6	6.3
	1.38	4.9	6.36
	1.39	4.81	6.3
	1.35	4.7	6.2
	1.34	4.65	6.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.95)	4.73 ↑ (3.77)	6.37 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bocholt
66.5%

Draw
19.2%

Sportfreunde Lotte
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

23.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

22.6%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bocholt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bocholt's performance.

Sportfreunde Lotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportfreunde Lotte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bocholt than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bocholt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportfreunde Lotte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Fakhro M. ⚽,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 18th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

In this matchup, Bocholt is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bocholt has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 2.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bocholt against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 3.5:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bocholt	14	4	5	5	29:32	-3	17
18	Lotte	14	1	3	10	9:27	-18	6

Last Results with these Odds

Sportfreunde Lotte - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Bocholt
German Regionalliga West
10.10.26	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bocholt	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Bocholt - Gütersloh	3:4 ✺
26.09.26	Borussia Dortmund II - Bocholt	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bocholt - Wiedenbrück	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bocholt - Siegen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
10.10.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Rödinghausen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:5
19.09.26	Schalke 04 II - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bergisch Gladbach	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
29.04.26	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	1:1
20.09.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	4:1
11.04.25	Bocholt - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:4
19.10.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bocholt	4:1

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