The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolivar 38.3%
Draw 29.4%
Deportivo Miranda 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.5%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
27.4%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolivar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Deportivo Miranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolivar than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Miranda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bolivar won 2.
Bolivar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Miranda has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bolivar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Bolivar has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:13 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bolivar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).