Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportpark Nord (Bonn)


	Bonner		Schalke 04 II

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.55	2.15
	2.88	3.76	2.17
	2.91	3.5	2.13
	3.33	3.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.4)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
30.7%

Draw
25.2%

Schalke 04 II
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

24.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

24.2%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Schalke 04 II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 II than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Bonner - Schalke 04 II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Wegkamp G. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 1.

Bonner has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Schalke 04 II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bonner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schalke 04 II might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonner won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
28.09.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Bonner	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Bonner - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTLT
- Schalke 04 II
German Regionalliga West
27.09.25	Schalke 04 II - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gütersloh - Schalke 04 II	1:3 ✺
17.09.25	Schalke 04 II - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Schalke 04 II	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Schalke 04 II - Bochum II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
16.04.22	Schalke 04 II - Bonner	1:0
07.11.21	Bonner - Schalke 04 II	4:3
07.11.20	Schalke 04 II - Bonner	2:1
31.01.20	Schalke 04 II - Bonner	2:0
17.08.19	Bonner - Schalke 04 II	0:0
19.03.17	Bonner - Schalke 04 II	0:0
10.09.16	Schalke 04 II - Bonner	0:5

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