Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Boreale		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.87
	3.78	3	1.94
	4	3.1	1.75
	3.86	3.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.99)	3.08 ↑ (2.99)	1.87 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreale
23.2%

Draw
29.1%

Ostia Mare
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boreale's form might have worsened.

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ostia Mare's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreale than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boreale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ostia Mare, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Boreale is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ostia Mare has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boreale
Italian Serie D - Group G
01.11.23	Boreale - Gladiator	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Nocerina - Boreale	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Boreale - Ischia Isolaverde	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Trastevere - Boreale	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Boreale - Romana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWLT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
01.11.23	Budoni - Ostia Mare	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Ostia Mare - Cavese	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Ardea - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ostia Mare - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:4 ✺
24.09.23	Ostia Mare - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.26	Ostia Mare - Pianese	✺

Boreale - Ostia Mare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide