Match Info
ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 20Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Borgo San Donnino |
|
Sammaurese |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.94 |
3.14 |
2.24 |
|
 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.08 |
3.14 |
2.21 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.03 ↓
(3.5) |
3.12 ↓
(3.24) |
2.15 ↑
(1.99) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Borgo San Donnino
29.6% | Draw
28.7% | Sammaurese
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borgo San Donnino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Sammaurese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgo San Donnino than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sammaurese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10). Borgo San Donnino has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Sammaurese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Sammaurese will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3. Including matches at home between the teams Borgo San Donnino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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