Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event


	Borussia Dortmund U19		Hertha U19

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.67	4.34	3.99
	1.67	4.35	3.99
	1.62	4.2	3.7
	1.65	4.11	4.3
	1.57	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)	4.22 ↓ (4.6)	4.08 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund U19
56%

Draw
21.6%

Hertha U19
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Borussia Dortmund U19's form might have worsened.

Hertha U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund U19 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha U19 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Borussia Dortmund U19 - Hertha U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Campbell C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, Maza I. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Rolke O. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Herrmann C. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Dortmund U19 in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hertha U19 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hertha U19 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dortmund U19 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dortmund U19 to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dortmund U19 won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dortmund U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund U19
German Junioren Bundesliga West
05.05.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Schalke U19	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Verl U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	2:5 ✺
20.04.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Duisburg U19	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Bochum U19	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Hertha U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
11.05.24	Dynamo Dresden U19 - Hertha U19	2:2 ✺
05.05.24	Hertha U19 - Osnabrück U19	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	RB Leipzig U19 - Hertha U19	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Hertha U19 - Wolfsburg U19	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Hamburger SV U19 - Hertha U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
15.04.23	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Hertha U19	0:1
10.04.23	Hertha U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	0:4
29.05.22	Hertha U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	1:2
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
16.05.18	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Hertha U19	3:1

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