Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Borussia Dortmund U19		St. Pauli U19

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.4	4.33
	1.6	4	4.25
	1.57	4.2	4.3
	1.57	4.38	4.82
	1.53	3.9	4.5
	1.5	4.6	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.97)	4.25 ↑ (3.95)	4.48 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund U19
58.5%

Draw
21.3%

St. Pauli U19
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

22.7%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

22%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund U19's performance.

St. Pauli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund U19 than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli U19 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Borussia Dortmund U19 - St. Pauli U19 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dortmund U19 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). St. Pauli U19 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Dortmund U19 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches St. Pauli U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St. Pauli U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dortmund U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund U19
UEFA Youth League
11.10.22	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Sevilla U19	2:0 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga West
08.10.22	Paderborn U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	1:2 ✺
UEFA Youth League
05.10.22	Sevilla U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	1:1 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga West
01.10.22	Borussia Dortmund U19 - Bonner U19	2:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
14.09.22	Manchester City U19 - Borussia Dortmund U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL
- St. Pauli U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
08.10.22	Dynamo Dresden U19 - St. Pauli U19	4:2 ✺
01.10.22	St. Pauli U19 - Energie Cottbus U19	6:0 ✺
German DFB Junioren Pokal
10.09.22	Kickers Offenbach U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:2 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga North
03.09.22	Magdeburg U19 - St. Pauli U19	6:2 ✺
27.08.22	St. Pauli U19 - Hertha Zehlendorf U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLT

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