Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 10

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Borussia Mönchengladbach II		Düren

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.76	3.95	4.15
	1.74	3.79	4
	1.73	3.74	3.94
	1.81	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.06)	3.74 ↑ (3.59)	3.97 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach II
52.3%

Draw
24.5%

Düren
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

25.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Mönchengladbach II's performance.

Düren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Düren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach II than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Mönchengladbach II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Düren than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Düren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Düren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Pesch N. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Herrmann C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, Pesch N. ⚽,
64', 4 - 0, Fukuda S. ⚽,
74', 5 - 0, Asallari K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach II
German Regionalliga West
28.09.24	Bocholt - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:4 ✺
21.09.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.09.24	Sunderland U21 - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:3 ✺
German Regionalliga West
14.09.24	Schalke 04 II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Wiedenbrück	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWWT
- 1.FC Düren
German Regionalliga West
29.09.24	Düren - Köln II	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Düren - Uerdingen	5:3 ✺
14.09.24	Bocholt - Düren	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Düren - Rödinghausen	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Schalke 04 II - Düren	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
02.12.23	Düren - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	3:1
29.07.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Düren	1:2
10.12.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Düren	5:0
06.08.22	Düren - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	1:0

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