Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 19

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Mali	ORTM


	Bougouba		Onze Créateurs

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.78	3.15	Watch
	2.43	2.69	3.29	Watch
	2.36	2.77	3.16	Watch
	2.16	2.66	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	3.25 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouba
39%

Draw
33.2%

Onze Créateurs
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

33.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Onze Créateurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouba than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onze Créateurs than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bougouba - Onze Créateurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 3.

Bougouba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Onze Créateurs is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bougouba might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bougouba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	-13	31
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouba
Malian Première Division
16.04.26	Stade Malien - Bougouba	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Derby Académie - Bougouba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Bougouba - Djoliba	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouba	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bougouba - Korofina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWW
- Onze Créateurs
Malian Première Division
15.04.26	Djoliba - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Afrique Football Elite - Onze Créateurs	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Onze Créateurs - Korofina	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Real Bamako - Onze Créateurs	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Onze Créateurs - Diarra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
26.12.25	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:0
21.01.25	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:1
15.03.24	Bougouba - Onze Créateurs	4:0
19.11.23	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	1:1
27.05.22	Onze Créateurs - Bougouba	0:1
31.12.21	Bougouba - Onze Créateurs	1:1

Bougouba - Onze Créateurs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide