Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 25

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday


	Bougouni		USFAS Bamako

	1	X	2
	4.40	2.95	1.80
	4.88	2.76	1.93	Watch
	4.60	2.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↓ (4.88)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
19.5%

Draw
31.9%

USFAS Bamako
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

33.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

30.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bougouni won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, USFAS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bougouni won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bougouni won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
04.06.26	Mali Coura - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Derby Académie - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Bougouni - Onze Créateurs	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	Stade Malien - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Djoliba - Bougouni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
04.06.26	USFAS Bamako - Onze Créateurs	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Stade Malien - USFAS Bamako	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouba	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Djoliba - USFAS Bamako	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	USFAS Bamako - Afrique Football Elite	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
31.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0
21.01.25	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:1
16.03.24	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	1:0
18.11.23	Bougouni - USFAS Bamako	0:0
17.06.23	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	3:0
05.03.20	USFAS Bamako - Bougouni	0:0

Bougouni - USFAS Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide