Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday


	Bournemouth U21		Fleetwood Town U21

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.33
	1.58	4.74	4.14
	1.59	4.4	4.43
	1.7	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)	4.47 ↓ (4.58)	4.1 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth U21
57%

Draw
20.6%

Fleetwood Town U21
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

19.8%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

17%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fleetwood Town U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth U21 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town U21 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Bournemouth U21 - Fleetwood Town U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
53', 3 - 0, ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, ⚽,
88', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Bournemouth U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fleetwood U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bournemouth U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bournemouth U21 have a series of guest games.

In this match Bournemouth U21 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth U21
English Professional Development League
29.04.24	Birmingham City U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:2 ✺
19.04.24	Bournemouth U21 - Sheffield United U21	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Wigan Athletic U21 - Bournemouth U21	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	Charlton Athletic U21 - Bournemouth U21	1:2 ✺
22.03.24	Burnley U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- Fleetwood Town U21
English Professional Development League
30.04.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Colchester United U21	0:3 ✺
22.04.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	1:4 ✺
18.04.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Millwall U21	2:3 ✺
12.04.24	Peterborough United U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	1:0 ✺
08.04.24	Swansea City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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