Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga U23		Maritimo U23

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.75	6.25
	1.42	4.25	5.75
	1.40	5.06	6.53
	1.42	4.9	6.2	Watch
	1.37	5.00	6.20
	1.44	4.67	6.20	Watch
	1.35	4.60	6.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	4.75 ↑ (4.1)	6.23 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga U23
65.9%

Draw
19.3%

Maritimo U23
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

21.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braga U23's performance.

Maritimo U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga U23 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braga U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Braga U23 - Maritimo U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 🟥,
83', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: ) and 20th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga U23 won 4.

In recent outings, Braga U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Maritimo U23 has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Braga U23 as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Braga U23 has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 31:13 (averaging 2.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Braga U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 17:6 goals (averaging 2.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Braga U23	8	2	4	2	12:12	0	10
17	Maritimo U23	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.09.26	Rio Ave U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Moreirense U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Braga U23 - Penafiel U23	3:3 ✺
31.08.26	Torreense U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Braga U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTTW
- Maritimo U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
25.09.26	Maritimo U23 - Benfica U23	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Maritimo U23 - Felgueiras U23	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Vizela U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Maritimo U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:1 ✺
01.09.26	Leiria U23 - Maritimo U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
02.11.25	Braga U23 - Maritimo U23	2:1
21.08.25	Maritimo U23 - Braga U23	1:2
29.11.22	Braga U23 - Maritimo U23	3:0
06.09.22	Maritimo U23 - Braga U23	2:0
Portuguese Taca Revelacao U23
17.05.22	Maritimo U23 - Braga U23	0:2
10.05.22	Braga U23 - Maritimo U23	2:0
20.04.21	Maritimo U23 - Braga U23	2:3

Braga U23 - Maritimo U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide