The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maritimo U23 18.9%
Draw 21%
Benfica U23 60%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.4%
24.9%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.8%
24.5%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maritimo U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maritimo U23's form might have worsened.
Benfica U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benfica U23's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritimo U23 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maritimo U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maritimo U23 - Benfica U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 20th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 13th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maritimo U23 won 1.
Maritimo U23 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Benfica U23 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Benfica U23 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Maritimo U23 has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Maritimo U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:7 goals (averaging 0.4:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Benfica U23
9
3
2
4
12:13
-1
11
18
Maritimo U23
8
1
3
4
8:13
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Benfica U23 - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 48.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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