Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 22

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bragança		Vilar de Perdizes

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	3.35	3.02	2.27
	3.22	3.1	2.21
	2.9	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (4.22)	3.07 ↓ (3.7)	2.26 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
30.3%

Draw
29.6%

Vilar de Perdizes
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.5%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.3%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bragança's performance.

Vilar de Perdizes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilar de Perdizes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bragança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilar de Perdizes than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilar de Perdizes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Bragança is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vilar de Perdizes is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vilar de Perdizes will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bragança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Merelinense - Bragança	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Bragança - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Amarante - Bragança	5:0 ✺
12.02.23	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bragança - Dumiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- GD Vilar de Perdizes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Dumiense	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Pevidem - Vilar de Perdizes	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Brito - Vilar de Perdizes	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Vilar de Perdizes - São Martinho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Vilar de Perdizes - Bragança	1:0

Bragança - Vilar de Perdizes

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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