Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 14

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Brasil de Farroupilha		GE Bagé

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.60
	2.12	2.75	3.45
	2.24	2.93	3.13
	2.12	2.98	3.49	Watch
	2.03	2.85	3.2
	2.22	2.84	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Farroupilha
42.2%

Draw
31.5%

GE Bagé
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

31.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Farroupilha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

GE Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Farroupilha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Brasil de Farroupilha - GE Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 13th).

Brasil Farroupilha is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

GE Bagé is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Brasil Farroupilha is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Brasil Farroupilha has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	GE Glória - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gramadense - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTWTW
- GE Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.09.26	GE Bagé - Gramadense	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Veranopolis - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	GE Bagé - GE Glória	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - GE Bagé	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	GE Bagé - Gaúcho	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
20.07.25	GE Bagé - Brasil de Farroupilha	1:1

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