Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BRASILIENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Brasília		Taguatinga EC

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.5
	2.59	3.4	2.25
	2.38	3.65	2.55
	2.4	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.76)	3.45 ↓ (3.48)	2.46 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília
37.2%

Draw
26.2%

Taguatinga EC
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasília's form might have worsened.

Taguatinga EC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taguatinga EC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasília, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taguatinga EC than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taguatinga EC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Brasília has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Taguatinga EС is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasília will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brasília won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
05.03.23	Capital CF Ltda - Brasília	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Brasília - Gama	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Ceilândia - Brasília	3:3 ✺
12.02.23	Samambaia - Brasília	3:0 ✺
08.02.23	Brasília - Santa Maria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL
- Taguatinga EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
04.03.23	Taguatinga EC - Santa Maria	3:1 ✺
27.02.23	Paranoá - Taguatinga EC	2:2 ✺
16.02.23	Taguatinga EC - Real Brasilia	1:3 ✺
13.02.23	Brasiliense - Taguatinga EC	5:0 ✺
09.02.23	Taguatinga EC - Samambaia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
19.02.22	Taguatinga EC - Brasília	3:2

Brasília - Taguatinga EC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide