The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bratstvo Gračanica 49.7%
Draw 26.9%
TOŠK Tešanj 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
24.9%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
23.5%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bratstvo Gračanica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bratstvo Gračanica's form might have worsened.
TOŠK Tešanj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bratstvo Gračanica than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bratstvo Gračanica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TOŠK Tešanj than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Bratstvo Gračanica - TOŠK Tešanj Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Huseinbasic E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Saran D. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Djekic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', Oruc H. 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 3, Djekic S. ⚽,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bratstvo Gračanica won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
TOŠK Tešanj may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TOŠK Tešanj has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bratstvo Gračanica for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bratstvo Gračanica has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:13 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bratstvo Gračanica against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:2 goals (averaging 2:0.7 per game).