Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Brattvåg Stadion (Brattvåg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2 Play


	Brattvåg		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	4.6
	1.51	4.59	5.18
	1.51	4.7	5.21	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.75)	4.55 ↑ (4.2)	5.02 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brattvåg
61.5%

Draw
20.2%

Ørn-Horten
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

21.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brattvåg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brattvåg's performance.

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ørn-Horten might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brattvåg than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brattvåg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ørn-Horten could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brattvåg - Ørn Horten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baskett K. (G) 10. Dahle E. 14. Flem T. 7. Fredriksen T. L. 18. Fylling J. 22. Refsnes M. 15. Rossi L. 11. Solnordal O. 9. Sundgot O. 23. Sveinsson B. 19. Tattum S. (C)	1. Solberg K. (G) 15. Auby J. 4. Forsund A. (C) 19. Hamde D. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 7. Lindquist Ch. 18. Nilsen N. 2. Nilsen S. 28. Werni S.
Substitutes
2. Breivik H. 28. Bubahe D. 6. Fosu-Mensah P. 20. Lille-Lovo S. 8. Nakken V. 16. Obiech A. 12. Solas S. O. (G)	25. Bamenye F. 17. Hargott C. 21. Ottesen M. 5. Pop S. 27. Skulstad-Hansen E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Nilsen N. ⚽,
66', Helling G. ↓, Ottesen M. ↑,
70', Fylling J. ↓, Obiech A. ↑,
70', Sveinsson B. ↓, Bubahe D. ↑,
81', Fredriksen T. L. ↓, Lille-Lovo S. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Flem T. ⚽,
86', Werni S. ↓, Skulstad-Hansen E. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Ottesen M. ⚽,
90', Kadriu A. ↓, Pop S. ↑,
90+1', Bubahe D. ↓, Nakken V. ↑,
90+3', Solberg K. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 2, Rossi L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ørn-Horten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brattvåg is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brattvåg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brattvåg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brattvåg IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.09.24	Arendal - Brattvåg	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Brattvåg - Eik-Tønsberg	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Flekkerøy - Brattvåg	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Notodden - Brattvåg	0:2 ✺
26.08.24	Brattvåg - Brann 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Jerv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Brann 2 - Ørn-Horten	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ørn-Horten - Viking 2	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Hødd - Ørn-Horten	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ørn-Horten - Kvik Halden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brattvåg	2:0
03.09.23	Brattvåg - Ørn-Horten	2:0
08.07.23	Ørn-Horten - Brattvåg	2:1

Brattvåg - Ørn-Horten: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide