Match Info

Copa América Women - Round 5

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Israel	Sport 3
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Brazil W		Colombia W

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4	4.8
	1.52	4.05	5.3
	1.56	4.09	5.42
	1.76	3.42	4.76	Watch
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.55	3.95	5.42
	1.37	4.34	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.37)	3.98 ↓ (4.78)	5.26 ↓ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil W
59.7%

Draw
23%

Colombia W
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.3%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brazil W's form might have worsened.

Colombia W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brazil W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colombia W than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Brazil W - Colombia W Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lorena (G) Kansas City Current 13. Fe Palermo Palmeiras 15. Ary Borges Racing Louisville 6. Yasmim Real Madrid 20. Mariza Corinthians 3. Tarciane Lyon 8. Angelina (C) Orlando Pride 19. Jhonson Corinthians 7. Kerolin Manchester City 21. Dudinha Sao Paulo 18. Gabi Portilho Gotham FC	12. Tapia K. (G) Palmeiras 17. Arias C. (C) America de Cali 22. Caracas D. Espanyol 5. Bedoya L. Cruzeiro 3. Arias D. San Diego Wave 16. Carabali J. Brighton 10. Santos L. Washington Spirit 20. Izquierdo I. 9. Ramirez M. Chelsea 21. Loboa V. Dep. Cali 18. Caicedo L. Real Madrid
Substitutes
9. Amanda Gutierres Palmeiras 2. Antonia Real Madrid 12. Camila Rodrigues (G) Cruzeiro 14. Claudia (G) Fluminense 5. Duda Sampaio Corinthians 16. Fatima Dutra Ferroviaria 11. Gio Garbelini Atl. Madrid 23. Isa Haas Cruzeiro 4. Kaka Sao Paulo 22. Luany Atl. Madrid 10. Marta Orlando Pride 17. Yaya Corinthians	13. Agudelo L. (G) Dep. Cali 2. Alvarez M. Atl. Nacional 14. Baron A. Racing Louisville 15. Bonilla W. UNAM Pumas 4. Guzman A. Utah Royals 19. Minota Y. Pachuca 6. Montoya D. Gremio 7. Pavi M. West Ham 1. Perez C. (G) Werder Bremen 8. Restrepo M. Monterrey 23. Serna L. Albacete 11. Usme C. Galatasaray

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Lorena 🟥,
28', Jhonson ↓, Claudia ↑,
31', Izquierdo I. 🟨,
37', Kerolin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ary Borges 🟨,
63', Ramirez M. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
63', Santos L. ↓, Usme C. ↑,
68', Kerolin ↓, Gio Garbelini ↑,
68', Ary Borges ↓, Duda Sampaio ↑,
72', Arias D. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
72', Izquierdo I. ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
80', Dudinha ↓, Marta ↑,
80', Angelina ↓, Yaya ↑,

Preview

Brazil is Qualified for Copa America Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 4.

Brazil is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Colombia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Colombia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brazil is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Brazil will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil W
Copa America Women
22.07.25	Paraguay W - Brazil W	1:4 ✺
16.07.25	Bolivia W - Brazil W	0:6 ✺
13.07.25	Brazil W - Venezuela W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	France W - Brazil W	3:2 ✺
02.06.25	Brazil W - Japan W	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Colombia W
Copa America Women
22.07.25	Colombia W - Bolivia W	8:0 ✺
19.07.25	Colombia W - Paraguay W	4:1 ✺
16.07.25	Venezuela W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
02.07.25	Mexico W - Colombia W	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Mexico W - Colombia W	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Women
29.10.24	Brazil W - Colombia W	3:1
26.10.24	Brazil W - Colombia W	1:1
Gold Cup Women
24.02.24	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:1
Copa America Women
30.07.22	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:1
22.04.18	Brazil W - Colombia W	3:0
South American Championship Women
28.09.14	Colombia W - Brazil W	0:0

Brazil W - Colombia W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide