Match Info

3. SNL - East - Round 24

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Brežice		Podvinci

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.21	7.43
	1.30	4.99	7.84	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.31	4.75	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.6)	4.79 ↑ (3.82)	7.52 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brežice
69.2%

Draw
18.8%

Podvinci
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brežice's performance.

Podvinci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podvinci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brežice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podvinci than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podvinci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brežice - Podvinci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 8).

Brežice is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Podvinci's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Brežice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brežice is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Brežice will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brežice won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Brežice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Podvinci	9	4	2	3	15:17	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brežice
Slovenian 3 SNL East
02.05.26	Fužinar Ravne - Brežice	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Brežice - Videm	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dobrovce - Brežice	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Brežice - Ljutomer	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hajdina - Brežice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWWW
- NK Podvinci
Slovenian 3 SNL East
30.04.26	Podvinci - Zavrč	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Rače - Podvinci	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Podvinci - Čarda Martjanci	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Podvinci - Fužinar Ravne	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Videm - Podvinci	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL East
25.10.25	Podvinci - Brežice	1:2
22.03.25	Podvinci - Brežice	2:2
30.03.24	Podvinci - Brežice	1:2
14.08.22	Brežice - Podvinci	4:3

Brežice - Podvinci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide