Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday


	Brea		Almudévar

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.27	2.98	3.03
				Watch
	2.28	2.99	3.07
	2.32	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.78)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brea
39.3%

Draw
30.4%

Almudévar
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brea's performance.

Almudévar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almudévar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almudévar than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almudévar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brea - Almudévar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Veintemilla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 2, Veintemilla G. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Barahona A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brea won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 4:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Brea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.02.25	Brea - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Zuera - Brea	4:0 ✺
18.01.25	Fraga - Brea	2:3 ✺
12.01.25	Caspe - Brea	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Brea - Ebro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWL
- AD Almudévar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
15.02.25	Almudévar - La Almunia	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Almudévar - Andorra CF	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Binéfar - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Huesca B - Almudévar	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Fraga - Almudévar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
07.02.21	Brea - Almudévar	4:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Almudévar - Brea	1:4

Brea - Almudévar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide