Match Info

Date: 6 February 2022, Sunday


	Brea		Peña Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.95	2.75	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.41
	3.04	2.82	2.62
	2.86	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.53)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.54 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brea
32.7%

Draw
31.1%

Peña Deportiva
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

20.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brea - Peña Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Brea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.01.22	Terrassa - Brea	2:2 ✺
23.01.22	Brea - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:3 ✺
09.01.22	Brea - Espanyol B	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Lleida - Brea	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Brea - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLT
- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Huesca B	0:2 ✺
23.01.22	Ejea - Peña Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.22	Ibiza - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.01.22	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:3 ✺
19.12.21	Terrassa - Peña Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.09.21	Peña Deportiva - Brea	3:0

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