Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur)

Referee: Thordarson T. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2
World	Onefootball


	Breiðablik		KA Akureyri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	4.10	3.75
	1.58	4.25	4.10	Watch
	1.81	4.47	3.97
	1.67	4.64	4.21	Watch
	1.70	4.00	3.70
	1.71	4.25	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.62)	4.29 ↓ (4.57)	3.95 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
54.8%

Draw
21.7%

KA Akureyri
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

20.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

20%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

KA Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breiðablik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Breiðablik - KA Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: Breiðablik will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 9. Omarsson O. 4. Orrason A. 21. Margeirsson V. 5. Arnason I. 29. Hallsson G. 6. Jonsson A. 15. Thorsteinsson A. 8. Einarsson V. (C) 11. Bjarnason A. 33. Gunnleifsson A.	13. Audunsson S. (G) 30. Hrafnkelsson G. 23. Petursson M. M. 28. Gudmundsson H. (C) 2. Baldvinsson B. 9. Hauksson S. 8. Pedersen J. 15. Heidarsson O. 10. Steingrimsson H. 17. Kroon S. 14. Djuric D.
Substitutes
22. Arnarsson J. 32. Bjorgvinsson K. 16. Fjeldsted D. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. 24. Jonsson B. O. 19. Jonsson K. 12. Snaeholm G. (G) 45. Willumsson T. 30. Yeoman A.	27. Arnason A. 29. Arnason J. 19. Baldursson B. 7. Edmundsson J. S. 3. Gautason K. 75. Johannsson I. 20. Montiel D. 44. Saevarsson V. 12. Thorhallsson I. (G)
Coaches
Skulason O.	Jonasson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Hauksson S. 🟨,
39', Kroon S. ↓, Gautason K. ↑,
44', Arnason I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Thorsteinsson A. ⚽, Orrason A. (A),
63', 1 - 1, Baldvinsson B. ⚽, Djuric D. (A),
64', Arnason I. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
71', Hallsson G. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
71', Djuric D. ↓, Edmundsson J. S. ↑,
71', Heidarsson O. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Omarsson O. ⚽, Einarsson V. (A),
77', Petursson M. M. 🟨,
84', Pedersen J. ↓, Montiel D. ↑,
84', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Arnason J. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Gunnleifsson A. ⚽, Bjarnason A. (A),
86', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
86', Gunnleifsson A. ↓, Gunnlaugsson H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 4.

Breiðablik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KA Akureyri's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

KA Akureyri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Breiðablik has had a series of away games.

In this match, Breiðablik is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:21. (average 2.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Breiðablik won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Breidablik ✔	24	9	6	9	47:46	1	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.06.26	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	4:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.26	Ægir - Breiðablik	0:3 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.05.26	Fram - Breiðablik	4:3 ✺
22.05.26	Breiðablik - KR Reykjavík	6:3 ✺
17.05.26	Valur - Breiðablik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWL
- KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.06.26	KA Akureyri - Fram	3:4 ✺
31.05.26	KR Reykjavík - KA Akureyri	5:3 ✺
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.26	KA Akureyri - Ægir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.25	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	1:1
11.05.25	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	0:1
Icelandic Super Cup
30.03.25	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	3:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.09.24	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:3
19.06.24	Breiðablik - KA Akureyri	2:1
13.08.23	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	1:1
Icelandic Cup
04.07.23	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	4:3 penalties

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