Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 17
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 19
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Breiðablik		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.7
	4.15	3.95	1.72
	4.32	4.13	1.75
	4.58	4.25	1.65	Watch
	4.03	4.23	1.76
	4.33	4.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.6)	4.16 ↓ (4.18)	1.71 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
22.2%

Draw
22.7%

Samsunspor
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

22.4%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.8%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	4.2%	87.5%

Breiðablik - Samsunspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Samsunspor (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Samsunspor (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Breiðablik (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Samsunspor will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Breiðablik (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Einarsson A. (G) 17. Valgeirsson V. 44. Muminovic D. 21. Margeirsson V. 18. Ingvarsson D. 8. Einarsson V. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 13. Ludviksson A. 9. Omarsson O. 15. Thorsteinsson A. 11. Bjarnason A.	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 55. Cift Y. E. 11. Kilinc E. 21. Holse C. 29. Makoumbou A. 7. Musaba A. 9. Marius
Substitutes
32. Bjorgvinsson K. 31. Gunnleifsson G. 29. Hallsson G. 6. Jonsson A. 19. Jonsson K. 23. Kristinsson K. 99. Magnusson G. 33. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K. 77. Thomsen T. 45. Ulfarsson T. 30. Yeoman A.	25. Atoen F. 8. Aydogdu S. 16. Bulbul T. 28. Gonul S. 2. Mendes J. 12. Posiadala A. (G) 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 22. Yaldir P.
Coaches
Skulason O.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ingvarsson D. ⚽, Thorsteinsson A. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Marius ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cift Y. E. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
65', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
70', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Yeoman A. ↑,
70', Ludviksson A. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
70', Bjarnason A. ↓, Kristinsson K. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
75', Musaba A. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
75', Tomasson L. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
81', Einarsson V. ↓, Steindorsson K. ↑,
90+3', Muminovic D. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Laugardalsvöllur.

Breiðablik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samsunspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Samsunspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Ntcham O. (Hamstring Injury) Satka L. (Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Ustun E. (Inactive) Yuksel C. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Breiðablik	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.10.25	Stjarnan - Breiðablik	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Breiðablik - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
18.10.25	Breiðablik - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Breiðablik - Fram	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLW
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
23.11.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Konyaspor - Samsunspor	1:3 ✺
27.10.25	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWT

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