Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 12

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Breno		Mori Santo Stefano

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.25	3.5
	2.02	3.29	3.42
	1.94	3.29	3.42
	1.85	3.25	3.4
	1.9	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.69)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	3.46 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breno
46.8%

Draw
27.2%

Mori Santo Stefano
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Breno's form might have worsened.

Mori Santo Stefano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mori Santo Stefano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breno than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Breno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mori Santo Stefano than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mori Santo Stefano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Breno is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mori Santo Stefano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Breno is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.11.23	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Breno	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Breno - Adriese	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Campodarsego - Breno	2:2 ✺
28.10.23	Breno - Portogruaro Summaga	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Virtus Bolzano - Breno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTTLW
- ASD Mori Santo Stefano
Italian Serie D - Group C
12.11.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Union Clodiense	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Montecchio Maggiore - Mori Santo Stefano	5:2 ✺
01.11.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Treviso	1:2 ✺
28.10.23	Montebelluna - Mori Santo Stefano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Mori Santo Stefano - Chions	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Breno - Mori Santo Stefano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide