Match Info

3. SNL - East - Round 26

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Brežice		Zavrč

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.41	4.49	5.17
	1.30	5.04	7.69	Watch
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.4	4.6	6.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	4.79 ↑ (4.55)	6.84 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brežice
67.8%

Draw
19%

Zavrč
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Zavrč has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zavrč than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Brežice - Zavrč Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 7).

Brežice has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zavrč has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Brežice is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Brežice will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brežice won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brežice
Slovenian 3 SNL East
16.05.26	Rače - Brežice	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Brežice - Podvinci	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Fužinar Ravne - Brežice	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Brežice - Videm	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Dobrovce - Brežice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWTWW
- NK Zavrč
Slovenian 3 SNL East
16.05.26	Čarda Martjanci - Zavrč	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Zavrč - Rače	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Podvinci - Zavrč	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Zavrč - Fužinar Ravne	1:4 ✺
19.04.26	Videm - Zavrč	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 3 SNL East
08.11.25	Zavrč - Brežice	1:0
26.04.25	Zavrč - Brežice	1:1
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.10.16	Zavrč - Brežice	N/A

Brežice - Zavrč