Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Kavumba Recreation Centre (Wakiso)


	Bright Stars		Police

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.65	2.48
	2.96	2.77	2.57	Watch
	3.03	2.72	2.54
	3.15	2.65	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)	2.7 ↓ (2.88)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bright Stars
29.8%

Draw
33.9%

Police
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bright Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Bright Stars - Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bright Stars will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Police will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kamya S. (G) 8. Alou J. 10. Bunjo N. 4. Buule W. 20. Fiat C. 16. Kaziro J. 6. Kitimbo I. 5. Kyambadde A. (C) 13. Mandera A. 12. Odongo J. 11. Senkatuka N.	16. Kasibante E. (G) 4. Bojo A. 14. Bukenya A. 26. Figo 6. Jakony D. 25. Kalanzi D. 9. Kasumba U. 22. Kiwalazi T. (C) 7. Male R. 5. Muwanguzi T. 15. Obua K.
Substitutes
21. Atari K. 3. Badoni A. 7. Kakande S. 29. Kato F. K. 17. Mulabi S. (G) 26. Mustapha K. 22. Oketcho P. 23. Okwalinga M. 24. Were E. D. (G)	24. Eragu G. 28. Jemba R. 20. Kacancu A. 23. Katongole F. 13. Kayongo S. 2. Loki E. 30. Mugume E. 1. Muwanga M. (G) 10. Ocen B. 11. Ogweti G. 21. Oloka S. (G) 29. Ssengooba I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bunjo N. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Senkatuka N. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Senkatuka N. ⚽,
38', Obua K. ↓, Ogweti G. ↑,
38', Bojo A. ↓, Mugume E. ↑,
45+1', Odongo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Male R. ↓, Loki E. ↑,
46', Bukenya A. ↓, Kayongo S. ↑,
66', Kalanzi D. ↓, Ocen B. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 12).

Bright Stars has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Police is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Bright Stars won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
28.03.25	Kampala City Council - Bright Stars	5:0 ✺
14.03.25	Bright Stars - Villa	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Mbarara City - Bright Stars	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Bright Stars - Bul	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Kitara - Bright Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
27.03.25	Police - Kitara	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Cup
17.03.25	Maroons - Police	0:1 ✺
Ugandan Super League
13.03.25	Express - Police	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Police - Vipers	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mbale Heroes - Police	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
24.09.24	Police - Bright Stars	1:1
15.02.22	Bright Stars - Police	1:1
29.12.21	Police - Bright Stars	5:0
15.06.21	Police - Bright Stars	1:1
27.02.21	Bright Stars - Police	2:2

Bright Stars - Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide