Match Info

Prva liga - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Nogometni park Brinje (Grosuplje)

Referee: Halilovic D. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 9
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brinje-Grosuplje		Mura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.75
	2.30	3.05	2.75	Watch
	2.67	3.35	2.9
	2.39	3.29	2.93	Watch
	2.6	3	2.85
	2.53	3.24	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	3.18 ↑ (3.18)	2.82 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brinje-Grosuplje
37.8%

Draw
29.2%

Mura
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brinje-Grosuplje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brinje-Grosuplje than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brinje-Grosuplje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Brinje Grosuplje - Mura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Zrnec J. (G) 2. Benkic K. 7. Hojc V. 72. Ivkic D. 10. Jovicevic N. 22. Koren N. 17. Levanic T. 99. Marsetic E. 19. Matjaz S. 23. Pusnik N. (C) 8. Roric M.	25. Golubovic A. (G) 47. Butic S. 4. Jelic I. 7. Kasalo N. 24. Kitin L. 88. Korosec A. 10. Kouter N. 30. Kurtovic K. 21. Petrovic Z. 26. Proleta B. 18. Zalaznik A.
Substitutes
15. Klasnja N. 14. Kovac J. 80. Krolo I. 18. Maher R. 20. Matko M. 21. Milosevic E. 1. Strasberger T. (G) 77. Vlahovic V. 11. Zrnec N.	81. Antonic N. (G) 9. Ascic M. 8. Bobicanec L. 33. Fermisek Z. (G) 5. Jevsenak F. 23. Kovacic J. 14. Kozar A. 49. Pfeifer P. 2. Sana F. 20. Seckar S. 17. Trdin K. 3. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Markovic G.	Morec M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Roric M. 🟨,
15', Ivkic D. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Butic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Roric M. ↓, Maher R. ↑,
46', Koren N. ↓, Krolo I. ↑,
47', Krolo I. 🟨,
52', Kouter N. ↓, Kozar A. ↑,
59', Pusnik N. 🟨,
64', Korosec A. 🟨,
65', Kitin L. 🟨,
66', 0 - 2, Kasalo N. ⚽,
70', Benkic K. ↓, Matko M. ↑,
70', Jovicevic N. ↓, Kovac J. ↑,
76', Butic S. ↓, Bobicanec L. ↑,
76', Kurtovic K. ↓, Ascic M. ↑,
76', Zalaznik A. ↓, Jevsenak F. ↑,
76', Hojc V. ↓, Zrnec N. ↑,
79', Jevsenak F. 🟨,
81', Kasalo N. ↓, Pfeifer P. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Krolo I. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Brinje-Grosuplje have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mura has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mura may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Slovenian PrvaLiga for now

Mura: 0.34% Grosuplje: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14:18	-4	11
9	Mura	10	2	3	5	10:21	-11	9

Last Results with these Odds

Mura - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 29.57%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenian PrvaLiga
09.08.26	NK Bravo - Brinje-Grosuplje	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Rudar Prijedor	7:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
02.08.26	Brinje-Grosuplje - Koper	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Maribor - Brinje-Grosuplje	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Radomlje - Brinje-Grosuplje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTLW
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.08.26	Mura - Radomlje	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Nafta - Mura	5:2 ✺
25.07.26	Mura - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:0 ✺
17.07.26	Celje - Mura	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.26	Beltinci - Mura	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLWTL

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