Match Info

NPL Queensland - Round 18

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	FQTV


	Brisbane Roar U23		Rochedale Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.75	2.25
	2.72	3.85	2.05
	2.91	4.17	2.08
	2.63	3.98	2.25	Watch
	2.85	4.1	2
	2.86	3.9	2.02	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.32)	3.95 ↑ (3.7)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar U23
33.3%

Draw
23.2%

Rochedale Rovers
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24.1%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brisbane Roar U23's form might have worsened.

Rochedale Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochedale Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar U23 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Roar U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochedale Rovers than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochedale Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Brisbane Roar U23 - Rochedale Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Rochedale will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 9).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Roar U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Brisbane Roar U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar U23
Australian NPL Queensland
05.07.26	Brisbane City - Brisbane Roar U23	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Peninsula Power - Brisbane Roar U23	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Gold Coast United - Brisbane Roar U23	1:4 ✺
06.06.26	Magic United - Brisbane Roar U23	2:1 ✺
02.06.26	Wynnum Wolves - Brisbane Roar U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWLL
- Rochedale Rovers
Australian NPL Queensland
03.07.26	Wynnum Wolves - Rochedale Rovers	1:1 ✺
26.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Gold Coast Knights	4:1 ✺
21.06.26	Queensland Lions - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton City Excelsior	2:5 ✺
06.06.26	Rochedale Rovers - Peninsula Power	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
14.03.26	Rochedale Rovers - Brisbane Roar U23	1:0
20.07.24	Brisbane Roar U23 - Rochedale Rovers	1:1
21.04.24	Rochedale Rovers - Brisbane Roar U23	1:5

Brisbane Roar U23 - Rochedale Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide