The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 34.8%
Draw 26.7%
Crystal Palace 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
25%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
26%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bristol City - Crystal Palace Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bentley F. (G) 14. Ward M. 4. Struck C. 41. Bennett H. 24. Saez C. 5. Ingle S. 21. Dafeur M. 16. Syme E. (C) 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R.
30. Yanez S. (G) 24. Hopcroft S. 6. Everett A. (C) 29. Swaby A. 3. Napier J. 17. Blanchard A. 11. Weerden A. 5. Cato M. 8. Sharpe M. 9. Hughes E. 10. Howat K.
Substitutes
63. Hibbert-Johnson O. 23. Jones V. 3. Lawley G. 8. Losada V. 18. Meena M. 20. Morgan E. 6. O'Leary L. 2. Powell E. 99. Williams N. (G)
4. Arthur C. 21. Bailey Z. 41. Browne E. (G) 12. Brown L. 27. Larkin A. 15. Nolan H. 20. Riley I. 7. Sibley I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Swaby A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Hughes E. ⚽, Weerden A. (A),
38', Howat K. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Hardy R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Howat K. ⚽,
52', 2 - 2, Syme E. ⚽, Ward M. (A),
58', Howat K. ↓, Larkin A. ↑,
62', Cato M. 🟨,
65', Farrugia M. ↓, Jones V. ↑,
69', Napier J. 🟨,
74', 2 - 3, Larkin A. ⚽,
81', Ingle S. ↓, Losada V. ↑,
82', Struck C. ↓, Lawley G. ↑,
90', Lloyd-Smith L. ↓, Hibbert-Johnson O. ↑,
90+2', Hibbert-Johnson O. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL (Promotion: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4.
In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Crystal Palace is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, Bristol City has had a series of home games.
Bristol City could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).
Watch
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Bentley F. (G) 
Struck C. 
Saez C. 
Ingle S. 
Dafeur M. 
Farrugia M. 
Yanez S. (G) 
Swaby A. 
Napier J. 
Weerden A. 
Cato M. 
Losada V. 
O'Leary L. 
Riley I. 
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