Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque de Jogos do Brito SC (Guimarães)


	Brito		Vianense

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.11	2.66
	15.00	5.29	1.16	Watch
	2.45	3.06	2.67
	2.37	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (2.37)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	2.28 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brito
20.2%

Draw
30.5%

Vianense
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.8%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brito's form might have worsened.

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vianense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brito than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vianense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brito - Vianense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brito SC
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Bragança - Brito	5:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Tirsense - Brito	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Brito - Chaves B	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Limianos - Brito	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Brito - Desportivo Monção	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLW
- SC Vianense
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Trofense - Vianense	2:3 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Vianense - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Bragança - Vianense	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Tirsense - Vianense	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Vianense - Chaves B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.02.25	Brito - Vianense	2:0
15.09.24	Vianense - Brito	1:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.23	Brito - Vianense	0:0
13.11.22	Vianense - Brito	1:0

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