Match Info

BFL - Round 15

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium (Rajshahi)


	Brothers Union		Arambagh Krira Sangha

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.15	5.7
	1.43	4.05	6.02
	1.46	4.19	6.07	Watch
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.45	3.98	6.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.42)	4.02 ↓ (4.17)	6.01 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brothers Union
62.5%

Draw
22.4%

Arambagh Krira Sangha
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.1%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brothers Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Arambagh Krira Sangha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brothers Union than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brothers Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arambagh Krira Sangha than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ali I. (G) 38. Omer Rao 4. Becaye M. 80. Barry I. 26. Alam M. 40. Ghazi A. A. K. 6. Bhuyan J. (C) 13. Barua K. 66. Hemel M. 99. Kouyate K. 88. Dost S.	1. Hossen A. (G) 3. Rocky M. (C) 6. Quansah B. 13. Ahamed S. 4. Chakma N. 26. Shawon M. 14. Joy Tanchangy S. 55. Khan S. R. 12. Uddin N. 11. Kizito K. 8. Lantei-Mills S.
Substitutes
30. Ahmed M. 24. Akbor S. 27. Arafat Sifat Y. 77. Arafat Y. 35. Emon M. (G) 29. Hossen M. 28. Karim S. 33. Khandaker N. 15. Pradhan M. 25. Ray S. (G) 7. Shaeid A. 39. Shah A.	50. Ahammed A. 30. Alam M. 77. Ali Rabbi K. 9. Bappy A. 18. Hasan R. 80. Islam M. 20. Islam S. 23. Mali A. 16. Mithu U. F. 22. Ranu M. (G) 24. Sakhawat I. 31. Salim M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Kizito K. (Penalty Awarded),
23', Rocky M. 🟨,
28', Chakma N. 🟨,
31', Hemel M. ↓, Hossen M. ↑,
33', Kizito K. 🟨,
45+6', Alam M. 🟨,
45+8', 0 - 2, Quansah B. ⚽, Uddin N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Barua K. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Ahmed M. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Ali I. ↓, Ray S. ↑,
69', Shawon M. ↓, Islam M. ↑,
79', Omer Rao ↓, Shah A. ↑,
79', Kouyate K. ↓, Pradhan M. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Pradhan M. ⚽,
85', Khan S. R. ↓, Islam S. ↑,
85', Uddin N. ↓, Ali Rabbi K. ↑,
90+4', Ahamed S. ↓, Alam M. ↑,
90+4', Islam M. ↓, Sakhawat I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Brothers Union is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brothers Union won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Brothers Union won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arambagh	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brothers Union
Bangladesh BFL
25.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Brothers Union	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Brothers Union - PWD SC	1:2 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
14.04.26	Fakirerpool YMC - Brothers Union	0:1 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
10.04.26	Fakirerpool YMC - Brothers Union	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Brothers Union - Abahani Limited	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL
- Arambagh Krira Sangha
Bangladesh BFL
24.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Rahmatganj	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fortis - Arambagh Krira Sangha	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Bashundhara Kings - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1 ✺
Bangladesh Federation Cup
07.04.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Bashundhara Kings	0:5 ✺
Bangladesh BFL
06.03.26	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Fakirerpool YMC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bangladesh BFL
24.08.21	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Brothers Union	1:0
Bangladesh Federation Cup
23.12.20	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Brothers Union	2:0
Bangladesh BFL
02.08.19	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:5
20.04.19	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Brothers Union	0:1
07.12.17	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	1:1
18.08.17	Arambagh Krira Sangha - Brothers Union	2:1
20.11.16	Brothers Union - Arambagh Krira Sangha	2:1

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