Match Info

Primera B - Round 7

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla (Adrogue) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:00	LPF Play


	Brown de Adrogué		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	2.98	2.82	2.35	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.45
	3.15	2.76	2.42	Watch
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.15	3.05	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.79)	2.87 ↑ (2.81)	2.36 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brown de Adrogué
29.6%

Draw
31.7%

Arsenal Sarandí
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 3. Ortiz A. 4. Cesare L. 6. Cardozo D. 5. Castano A. 17. Gonzalez L. 11. Visco A. 7. Galvan L. 19. Baez B. 9. Meaurio N.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 2. Payes A. 3. Perez D. (C) 4. Schiavulli T. 6. Peralta I. 5. Colletta T. 7. Trombini M. 8. Lucero M. 11. Vega A. 9. Franco L. 10. Sosa M.
Substitutes
14. Bogado J. . Cerulo M. 16. Ferrario F. 18. Galeano V. . Guerrero B. 13. Irusta L. 20. Padovani O. . Patrizio T. 12. Wysocki M. (G)	17. Benitez K. 13. Brienzo N. 14. Del Col M. 15. Goncebat J. 19. Kestler I. 18. La Roza U. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 16. Vila J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Lucero M. ⚽,
37', Cesare L. 🟨,
42', 🟨,
44', Vega A. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', Cesare L. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
59', Aguirre C. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
66', Franco L. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
66', Vega A. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
76', Sosa M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
81', Schiavulli T. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
81', Lucero M. ↓, Del Col M. ↑,
85', Del Col M. 🟨,
87', La Roza U. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Ochoa J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 0 - 3, Kestler I. ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 4, La Roza U. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Brown de Adrogué has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brown de Adrogué won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi ✔	41	21	13	7	55:27	28	76
20	Brown Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25:38	-13	43

Last Results with these Odds

Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
14.03.26	Argentino de Merlo - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Ituzaingó - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Armenio	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Flandria - Brown de Adrogué	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTTL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
14.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Armenio	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Defensores Unidos - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.11.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
Club Friendly
17.01.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	0:1

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