Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 22

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Broń Radom		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4
	1.66	4.2	3.85
	2.05	3.36	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.44	3.3	Watch
	1.66	4.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	3.91 ↓ (4)	3.66 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Broń Radom
51.4%

Draw
23.5%

Pelikan Łowicz
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

21.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Pelikan Łowicz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Broń Radom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Kobiera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Kowalski J. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 1, Winkler B. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Broń Radom won 1.

Recent matches Broń Radom is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pelikan has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pelikan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Broń Radom is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Broń Radom won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Broń Radom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.7:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.03.25	Stomil Olsztyn - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Broń Radom - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Legia II - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.25	Broń Radom - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Wisła Puławy - Broń Radom	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWT
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.03.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - Pelikan Łowicz	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Pelikan Łowicz - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Elana Toruń - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.08.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Broń Radom	0:0
22.03.24	Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz	0:1
27.08.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Broń Radom	0:0
10.06.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Broń Radom	5:2
11.11.22	Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz	3:2
22.04.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Broń Radom	2:0
11.09.21	Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0

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