Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA EAST - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Bruck Leitha		Draßburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.8	3.3
	1.83	4	3.2
	1.86	4.12	3.2
	1.8	4	3.25
	1.81	3.92	3.5
	1.83	4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.4)	3.97 ↑ (3.74)	3.29 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bruck Leitha
49.7%

Draw
22.8%

Draßburg
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

23.9%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bruck Leitha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bruck Leitha's performance.

Draßburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Draßburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bruck Leitha than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bruck Leitha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Draßburg than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Draßburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Bruck Leitha - Draßburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bruck Leitha will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Draßburg will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bruck Leitha: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Bruck Leitha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Draßburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bruck Leitha will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bruck Leitha won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bruck Leitha won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASK-BSC Bruck Leitha
Austrian Regionalliga East
28.10.22	TWL Elektra - Bruck Leitha	1:1 ✺
21.10.22	Bruck Leitha - Leobendorf	1:3 ✺
15.10.22	Donaufeld Wien - Bruck Leitha	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Bruck Leitha - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Stripfing - Bruck Leitha	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLTL
- ASV Draßburg
Austrian Regionalliga East
29.10.22	Draßburg - Wiener Neustadt	2:0 ✺
21.10.22	TWL Elektra - Draßburg	4:2 ✺
14.10.22	Draßburg - Wiener	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Leobendorf - Draßburg	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Draßburg - Kremser	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
22.04.22	Bruck Leitha - Draßburg	4:0
10.09.21	Draßburg - Bruck Leitha	4:0
20.10.20	Draßburg - Bruck Leitha	1:4
25.10.19	Bruck Leitha - Draßburg	0:0

Bruck Leitha - Draßburg