Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Buchbach		Augsburg II

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.8	2.08
	2.94	4.05	2.1
	2.9	3.56	2.17
	2.9	3.6	2.05
	2.89	3.64	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.45)	3.73 ↑ (3.5)	2.1 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchbach
31.6%

Draw
24.6%

Augsburg II
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

25.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buchbach's form might have worsened.

Augsburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Augsburg II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buchbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Augsburg II than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Augsburg II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buchbach - Augsburg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Kastanaras T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
62', 0 - 2, Kastanaras T. ⚽,
65', 0 - 3, Bleicher F. ⚽,
79', 0 - 4, Sorg O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Augsburg II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Buchbach won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buchbach	12	8	3	1	25:11	14	27
12	Augsburg II	12	4	3	5	18:26	-8	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.04.26	Vilzing - Buchbach	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Aubstadt - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Buchbach - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unterhaching - Buchbach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LLLWW
- Augsburg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
21.04.26	Augsburg II - Schwaben Augsburg	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Augsburg II - Wacker Burghausen	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Eichstätt - Augsburg II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
18.10.25	Augsburg II - Buchbach	0:3
02.05.25	Buchbach - Augsburg II	5:2
18.10.24	Augsburg II - Buchbach	4:3
28.04.24	Augsburg II - Buchbach	3:0
08.10.23	Buchbach - Augsburg II	2:1
03.12.22	Buchbach - Augsburg II	1:4
07.08.22	Augsburg II - Buchbach	1:3

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