Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA BAYERN - ROUND 22

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday


	Buchbach		Rain am Lech

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.6
	2.45	3.1	2.7
	2.45	3.2	2.7
	2.44	3.27	2.92
	2.35	3.1	2.75
	2.38	3.38	2.83
	2.43	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2)	3.19 ↓ (3.43)	2.74 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buchbach
37.9%

Draw
28.7%

Rain am Lech
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.5%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buchbach's form might have worsened.

Rain am Lech has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rain am Lech's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buchbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rain am Lech than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rain am Lech, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Buchbach - Rain am Lech Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Buchbach will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buchbach: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Buchbach won 1.

Buchbach is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rain am Lech is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buchbach will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Buchbach won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Buchbach won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.11.22	Buchbach - Schweinfurt	2:2 ✺
05.11.22	Unterhaching - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Buchbach	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Buchbach - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Türkgücü München - Buchbach	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTLT
- TSV 1896 Rain am Lech
German Regionalliga Bayern
12.11.22	Rain am Lech - Hankofen-Hailing	5:1 ✺
05.11.22	Schweinfurt - Rain am Lech	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Würzburger Kickers - Rain am Lech	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Rain am Lech - Unterhaching	1:1 ✺
15.10.22	Rain am Lech - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
30.07.22	Rain am Lech - Buchbach	1:0
13.04.22	Rain am Lech - Buchbach	0:0
30.07.21	Buchbach - Rain am Lech	4:0
30.10.20	Buchbach - Rain am Lech	0:1
06.09.19	Rain am Lech - Buchbach	0:0
07.11.15	Rain am Lech - Buchbach	2:4
17.07.15	Buchbach - Rain am Lech	4:0

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