Match Info

K League 2 - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Bucheon		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3.3	2.24
	3.08	3.41	2.23	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.07	3.28	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	3.24 ↑ (3.1)	2.22 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
30.4%

Draw
28.3%

Suwon Bluewings
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Bucheon - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 55. Koo Ja-Ryong 30. Jeon In-Kyu 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 17. Kim Kyu-Min 23. Takahashi K. 16. Park Hyun-Bin 7. Thiaguinho Santos 41. Galego 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 99. Gong Min-Hyun	21. Yang Hyung-Mo (C) 19. Lee Geon-hee 12. Kwon Wan-Kyu 3. Ko Jong-hyun 23. Lee Ki-Je 6. Choi Young-Jun 11. Paulo Henrique 14. Hong Won-Jin 74. Bruno Costa 9. Ilyuchenko S. 70. Matheus Serafim
Substitutes
14. Choi Jae-Young 20. Hong Sung-Wook 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 5. Lee S. 9. Montano J. 11. Park Chang-Jun 13. Park Hyung-Jin	5. Han Ho-gang 32. Jeong Dong-yun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 22. Kim Sang-Jun 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 47. Park Seung-soo
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Byun Sung-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Park Hyun-Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hong Won-Jin ↓, Lee Gyu-Seong ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Matheus Serafim ⚽,
56', Gong Min-Hyun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
69', Lee Gyu-Seong 🟨,
69', Kim Kyu-Min ↓, Choi Jae-Young ↑,
69', Takahashi K. ↓, Choi Jae-Young ↑,
70', Choi Young-Jun ↓, Kim Sang-Jun ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Montano J. ⚽, Galego (A),
75', Matheus Serafim ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,
84', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
84', Bruno Costa ↓, Jeong Dong-yun ↑,
90+3', Jeong Dong-yun 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Final) and 6).

Recent matches Bucheon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Suwon Bluewings is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Suwon Bluewings have a series of home games.

Suwon Bluewings will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bucheon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bucheon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bucheon - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 2
06.04.25	Gimpo - Bucheon	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Seoul E-Land - Bucheon	3:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Bucheon - Yeoju	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
16.03.25	Bucheon - Ansan Greeners	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bucheon - Busan I Park	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
06.04.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.03.25	Suwon Bluewings - Seoul E-Land	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
15.03.25	Suwon Bluewings - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Seoul E-Land - Suwon Bluewings	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
19.10.24	Bucheon - Suwon Bluewings	1:1
23.07.24	Bucheon - Suwon Bluewings	0:3
18.05.24	Suwon Bluewings - Bucheon	0:1

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